Bitcoin weekly chart lower shadow positive line, short squeeze of rebound phase not confirmed

Bitcoin weekly chart lower shadow positive line, short squeeze of rebound phase not confirmed

Macroeconomics and financial markets

In the US NY stock market on the 16th of the previous weekend, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by $108 (0.32%) from the previous day, and the Nasdaq Index fell by 93 points (0.68%).

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Virtual currency market

In the crypto asset (virtual currency) market, Bitcoin fell 0.23% from the previous day to $ 26,445.

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BTC/USD daily

The weekly chart is 2.1% higher than the previous week with a lower shaded positive line. Two weeks ago, the price dropped to $24,750 at one point due to the Binance lawsuit, but then rebounded as the oversold level rebounded. The application for the “Bitcoin ETF” by BlackRock, the largest asset management company, was also well received.

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However, even though the price has rebounded, since April it has been moving inside the descending channel while lowering the top, and is now below the weekly 200 MA of $26,597. Amid heightened market uncertainty, the topside is likely to remain heavy unless the $27,000 and $28,500 resistance lines are broken.

Analyst analysis

According to Pentoshi, based on past Bitcoin price trends, if the support line breaks, it is likely to fall to $19,000 to $20,000 and $22,000 to $23,000.

Asset allocators such as investment fund managers are unable to invest due to heightened uncertainty such as US SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) regulations, the US Department of Justice (DOJ)’s involvement in federal criminal law and overall law enforcement, He cited the possibility of the US stock market peaking and peaking out.

Bloomberg reported on the 16th that JPMorgan Chase saw its largest rebalancing flow since the fourth quarter of 2021 in its portfolio, which includes sovereign wealth and pension funds, resulting in up to 5 We anticipate a stock price adjustment of 10%.

Rebalancing is done for risk management and tax reasons based on target asset allocations, and the recent surge in stock prices may require the sale of some overgrown asset classes.

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is stepping up surveillance of cryptocurrency exchanges to crack down on money laundering and other illegal activities. Reuters reported in May.

On the other hand, according to Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju), CEO of data analytics firm CryptoQuant, there was no large-scale short squeeze (lifting of short positions) during the Bitcoin rally last weekend.

On-chain data analysis showed that perpetual futures swaps were dominated by regular buys rather than cut short positions (forced liquidations). This indicates that there is still fuel left for significant gains should prices rise further.

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BTC Total Liquidations Chart (coinglass)

binance

Binance, which operates the industry’s largest crypto asset (virtual currency) exchange, has been in trouble recently, including being sued by the US SEC over crimes such as selling unregistered securities.

On Monday, it announced its withdrawal from the Dutch market after failing to obtain a virtual asset service provider (VASP) license, and was accused of failing to comply with its anti-money laundering obligations, according to a report by French newspaper Le Monde. , It is also known that it has been subject to preliminary investigation since February 2022.

Meanwhile, a compromise was reached to avoid an injunction to freeze the assets of Binance.US, sought by the U.S. SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission), allowing U.S. customers to withdraw funds from the platform.

connection:SEC and Binance US Agree to Avoid Asset Freeze

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Click here for a list of market reports published in the past

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