Bitcoin plummets to $40,000 level again as grayscale GBTC sell-off continues

Bitcoin plummets to ,000 level again as grayscale GBTC sell-off continues

Macroeconomics and financial markets

On the 18th, in the US New York stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 201.9 points (0.54%) higher than the previous day, and the Nasdaq Index closed 200 points (1.35%) higher.

In the Tokyo stock market, the Nikkei Stock Average rose 583.7 yen (1.64%) from the previous day.

As Bitcoin (BTC) plummets, US stocks related to crypto assets (virtual currency) have also been weak.

Coinbase fell 7.6% from the previous day, and Hut8 Mining plummeted 30.06% from the previous day.

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CoinPost app (heat map function)

connection:10 major virtual currency stocks in the Japanese and US stock markets

Virtual currency market conditions

In the crypto asset (virtual currency) market, the Bitcoin price fell 3.78% from the previous day to 1 BTC = $41,096.

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BTC/USD daily

The daily chart is deteriorating, and there is a risk that the correction phase will be prolonged.

In the event that 1BTC = $40,000, the likely downside support would be around $38,000 (①) or $34,700 (②).

In the futures market, about $200 million of long positions were liquidated, but this is a little less than the $590 million on the 3rd.

Among major altcoins, Ethereum (ETH) is down 3.07%, Solana (SOL) is down 8.01%, and Avalanche (AVAX) is down 7.7%, leading to a withdrawal of funds from altcoins that were soaring in the Bitcoin ETF market. stands out.

connection:A professional explains the market price at the beginning of the year after Bitcoin ETF approval | Contribution: Virtual NISHI

According to data from on-chain analysis firm Santiment, as of 1 a.m. on the 17th, a transfer of $665 million worth of crypto assets (virtual currency) was confirmed.

Analysts at JPMorgan also stated on the 17th that “Bitcoin could face further downward pressure in the coming weeks if investors holding GBTC continue to take profits.” .

connection:Cryptocurrency market has fallen sharply after approval of Bitcoin ETF, selling pressure due to Grayscale’s GBTC etc.

Although Grayscale’s investment trust GBTC has achieved its long-cherished desire to convert into an exchange-traded fund (Bitcoin ETF), more than $1.5 billion of funds have already been lost as of the 18th due to high trust fees. It is leaking due to transfer.

According to Alex Thorn, the amount of money Grayscale sent to Coinbase Prime for redemption settlements slowed into the 19th.

It decreased from 18,000 BTC ($770 million) to 9,839 BTC ($417 million).

BTC inflows have increased since the launch of the Bitcoin ETF, and the “Coinbase Premium Gap” has turned negative, indicating strong selling pressure on Coinbase.

The index represents the gap between the Coinbase Pro price (USD currency pair) and the Binance price (USDT currency pair), and is the gap between US institutional investors and whales (large investors) relative to global standards. It is useful for analyzing sentiment and position trends.

During the 2021 bull market, when Bitcoin was at an all-time high, “Coinbase Premium” reached a premium (upward deviation) of more than $50.

Bitcoin ETF demand exceeds market expectations

Demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs (exchange traded funds) exceeded market expectations, with total trading volume reaching $11.95 billion.

Before the U.S. SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) approved Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), some analysts had predicted that they would reach $10 billion a year, which is significantly higher.

However, JPMorgan analysts are also skeptical of Ethereum ETF approval.

“Ethereum’s transition from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS) has had a negative impact on decentralization” “Cryptography sued by US SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) for being considered securities There is also an asset staking service, and it may be difficult to approve it unless it is resolved in court.”

connection:Bitcoin ETF surpasses silver ETF to become second place commodity ETF

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